U.S. death rate: 4.66% • World death rate: 6.84% • Complete table of reported U.S. cases and deaths
U.S. counties reporting cases: 2,557 (81%) • U.S. counties reporting deaths: 1,126 (36%)
Source: U.S. state and county health departments and other official sources
After collecting a month's worth of reported data on U.S. COVID-19 cases, our data scientists and mathematicians are now able to make projections for each state. The individual graphs show the maximum, midrange, and minimum number of cases possible, based on trending data and the degree to which populations follow existing quarantine and social distancing recommendations. View the projections (e-mail address required).
Notes on Model for Projections
Models help us understand how different variables (population, density, demographics, social determinants of health, etc.) affect the results. We constructed this model with these assumptions: (1) Current social distancing and quarantine procedures are maintained; (2) Hospitalization rates in the U.S. stay below maximum capacity, thus removing the possibility of a "spike" in the data; and (3) Data reporting is consistent. We will continue to refine the factors contributing to the model's projections.
Data scientists and analysts at Perception Health have compiled medical data from state and county health departments and other official sources to create the only comprehensive, daily-updated map of reported cases of COVID-19 across the U.S., delineated by county.
>> Enhanced COVID-19 Map Shows Deadly Trends in Rural U.S. Counties
>> Perception Health Joins the Fight Against COVID-19
Notes on Data Representation
With our daily collection of county and state health data across the U.S., we have noticed there are inconsistencies in what is reported. We have accounted for these issues and have decided how to depict them accurately in the map.
When county data is not available, we give that county a gray color. When a county reports a zero, we give that county a transparent layer, making the white background visible. As shown in the Legend, different colors are used to depict the severity of the coronavirus in that county.
Advocacy for Standardized Reporting
Perception Health continues to advocate for standardized reporting of health data across all U.S. counties. Accurate information will aid local, state, and federal agencies in their efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus across the country.
“What’s really important right now is to get consistent reporting by county from each state,” says J. Tod Fetherling, CEO of Perception Health and an industry veteran in health data analytics. “We need each county and state to report Cases (confirmed positive), Tests, Hospitalizations, Recovered Cases, and Deaths. This is the only way to accurately know how prevalent the virus is and where techniques are being the most effective in limiting the spread of the deadly disease," says Fetherling.
“Reporting data accurately and timely,” Fetherling continues, “provides additional insights and predictions to emerging demands in ways that will save lives. This is critical so federal, state and local agencies can mobilize appropriately and get the needed resources and supplies to those most in need. For those of us who handle industry data, this is our best way to support all the healthcare heroes on the front lines doing patient-centered care. Please contact your state health officials today and advocate for county-specific reporting,” says Fetherling.