We have discontinued our daily collection and analysis of state and county reported data related to the Covid-19 coronavirus. This information is still available from state and local health agencies, national and local media, and the CDC. This change will allow us more time to do what we do best: assisting our clients in solving complex problems with actionable insights that lead to growth. We will periodically present new Coronavirus briefs and reports that further validate scientific findings or when we discover new insights that require further exploration through advanced analytics.
In addition to our interactive map of Covid-19 cases across U.S. counties, and our state-wide projections, our data analysts went further and examined the medical histories of de-identified Covid-19 patients. Within the data they found intriguing information about pre-existing health issues, prior hospitalizations, the use of Teladoc services, and more. In this first of weekly Covid-19 data briefs, researches, providers, and policy makers can use these findings to point to greater insights into their patient populations.
>> Review the findings
Analysts from Perception Health collect data on the Covid-19 coronavirus from U.S. state and county health agencies every day. Over time, this data illustrates interesting trends, especially in light of the states' different plans for reopening businesses, entertainment venues, houses of worship, and more. Read more about the trends we found in the data.
After collecting a month's worth of data on U.S. Covid-19 reported cases and deaths, our data scientists and mathematicians are now able to make projections for each state. The individual graphs show the projected maximum, midrange, and minimum number of cases / deaths possible, based on previously reported cases / deaths, trending data, and the degree to which populations follow existing quarantine and social distancing recommendations. View the projections (e-mail address required).
>> Perception Health Issues Projections of Coronavirus Cases, Deaths for all 50 States
Notes on Model for Projections
Models help us understand how different variables (population, density, demographics, social determinants of health, etc.) affect the results. We constructed this model with these assumptions: (1) Current social distancing and quarantine procedures are maintained; (2) Hospitalization rates in the U.S. stay below maximum capacity, thus removing the possibility of a "spike" in the data; and (3) Data reporting is consistent. We will continue to refine the factors contributing to the model's projections.
Data scientists and analysts at Perception Health have compiled medical data from state and county health departments and other official sources to create the only comprehensive, daily-updated map of reported cases of Co-19 across the U.S., delineated by county.
>> Enhanced Covid-19 Map Shows Deadly Trends in Rural U.S. Counties
>> Perception Health Joins the Fight Against Covid-19
Notes on Data Representation
With our daily collection of county and state health data across the U.S., we have noticed there are inconsistencies in what is reported. We have accounted for these issues and have decided how to depict them accurately in the map.
When county data is not available, we give that county a gray color. When a county reports a zero, we give that county a transparent layer, making the white background visible. As shown in the Legend, different colors are used to depict the severity of the coronavirus in that county.
Advocacy for Standardized Reporting
Perception Health continues to advocate for standardized reporting of health data across all U.S. counties. Accurate information will aid local, state, and federal agencies in their efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus across the country.
“What’s really important right now is to get consistent reporting by county from each state,” says J. Tod Fetherling, CEO of Perception Health and an industry veteran in health data analytics. “We need each county and state to report Cases (confirmed positive), Tests, Hospitalizations, Recovered Cases, and Deaths. This is the only way to accurately know how prevalent the virus is and where techniques are being the most effective in limiting the spread of the deadly disease," says Fetherling.
“Reporting data accurately and timely,” Fetherling continues, “provides additional insights and predictions to emerging demands in ways that will save lives. This is critical so federal, state and local agencies can mobilize appropriately and get the needed resources and supplies to those most in need. For those of us who handle industry data, this is our best way to support all the healthcare heroes on the front lines doing patient-centered care. Please contact your state health officials today and advocate for county-specific reporting,” says Fetherling.